Comparative table of wins and losses (server numbers): five variants of the proposed rule against library Chandrupatla, Brent, TOMS748 - totals, per-problem sign tests, wide-bracket families. Server defcontra grid matches the smoke in every projection cell but one (defect+G2 CHA 3183 vs 3182).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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TOTALS (evaluations of f, failures charged 200)
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method APS CHA both
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proposed rule 2806 3220 6026
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+ G2 (step pattern) 2782 3169 5951
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+ G2 + analogy entry 2780 2625 5405
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+ contra + remembered analogy 2792 2537 5329
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+ defect + remembered analogy 2530 2561 5091
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Chandrupatla 2787 2441 5228
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Brent 2889 4115 7004
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TOMS748 2820 4000 6820
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PER PROBLEM, ours against each rival: wins/ties/losses (sign-test p)
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APS
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proposed rule Chandrupatla 87/24/42 p=9.2e-05 Brent 102/11/40 p=2e-07 TOMS748 86/16/51 p=0.0035
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+ G2 (step pattern) Chandrupatla 95/20/38 p=8.2e-07 Brent 110/9/34 p=1.5e-10 TOMS748 97/15/41 p=2.1e-06
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+ G2 + analogy entry Chandrupatla 95/20/38 p=8.2e-07 Brent 110/9/34 p=1.5e-10 TOMS748 97/15/41 p=2.1e-06
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+ contra + remembered analogy Chandrupatla 90/23/40 p=1.4e-05 Brent 105/11/37 p=9.9e-09 TOMS748 87/16/50 p=0.002
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+ defect + remembered analogy Chandrupatla 86/20/47 p=0.00091 Brent 101/13/39 p=1.6e-07 TOMS748 107/11/35 p=1.1e-09
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CHA
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proposed rule Chandrupatla 9/5/26 p=0.006 Brent 30/4/4 p=6.2e-06 TOMS748 31/1/8 p=0.00029
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+ G2 (step pattern) Chandrupatla 10/3/27 p=0.0076 Brent 30/2/6 p=7e-05 TOMS748 31/1/8 p=0.00029
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+ G2 + analogy entry Chandrupatla 9/6/25 p=0.009 Brent 30/2/6 p=7e-05 TOMS748 36/1/3 p=3.6e-08
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+ contra + remembered analogy Chandrupatla 8/7/25 p=0.0046 Brent 31/4/3 p=7.7e-07 TOMS748 37/1/2 p=2.8e-09
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+ defect + remembered analogy Chandrupatla 8/5/27 p=0.0019 Brent 30/2/6 p=7e-05 TOMS748 35/1/4 p=3.4e-07
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CHA PER FAMILY (ours / Chandrupatla)
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fun1 fun2 fun3 fun4 fun5 fun6 fun7 fun8 fun9
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proposed rule 99 141 338 573 456 456 1000 52 105
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+ G2 (step pattern) 97 146 346 522 456 456 1000 52 94
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+ G2 + analogy entry 99 146 336 331 254 313 1000 52 94
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+ contra + remembered analogy 108 141 304 318 254 275 1000 52 85
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+ defect + remembered analogy 123 144 304 315 257 280 1000 57 81
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Chandrupatla 103 152 305 297 233 233 1000 63 55
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