Commit Graph
8 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
vvsandClaude Opus 5 08863c170c PREREG_flat_order_point outcome: ACCEPTED, and the GOAL is reached - below Chandrupatla on BOTH sets (server numbers, all projection cells equal to the smoke).
Splitting in the flat regime at the point from the analogous pair's order (t = |FA|^(1/m) / (|FA|^(1/m) + |FB|^(1/m))) instead of the midpoint:
  G2 + analogy + order point         APS 2780  CHA 2221  both 5001   (P1-P4 all hold; vs Chandrupatla 2787 / 2441 / 5228)
  G2 + contra + remembered + point   APS 2775  CHA 2119  both 4894   (P3 fails by 2 against its midpoint twin)
  defect + remembered + point        APS 2532  CHA 2164  both 4696   (P3 fails by 2)
Flat fun3-6: 1234 -> 847 (analogy), 1151 -> 743 (remembered) - below pure bisection 1044 and Chandrupatla 1068.
Per problem on the wide set vs Chandrupatla now 20-24 wins / 13-17 losses (p 0.1-0.7, not significant); on the canonical set the edge is kept (95/20/38 p=8e-7).
Guarantee: 0 violations and >= 193 solved in every project/safe/credit cell.
Server regression x2: 1150 passed, 1 failed = the paper-number check.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 18:13:10 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 3d9287ec2c PREREG_defect_contra_flat outcome (smoke, all 199 problems). Goal (below Chandrupatla on both) NOT reached by any cell: best CHA 2537 vs 2441. Best total: defect+flatanalogmem APS 2530 / CHA 2561 = 5091 < Chandrupatla 5228 (first time), C1-C3 hold; ablation: defect earns APS +284 (costs CHA 9), remembered analogy earns CHA +649 (costs APS 7). contra earned without defect (APS 2806 -> 2785, CHA 3220 -> 3198; with the remembered analogy 2792 / 2537, the best CHA), redundant with defect (defect+contra = defect). fun9: 105 -> 81 (Chandrupatla 55). Remaining CHA gap 120: flat +88, fun1 +20, fun9 +26. Server regression x2: 1116 passed, 1 failed = the paper-number check.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 15:57:15 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 441373800b PREREG_flat_analogy_mem outcome (decided on the smoke, all 199 problems): NOT accepted. Remembering the analogy until the next flag: CHA 2635 -> 2552 (G2: 2625 -> 2548; flat fun3-6 1234 -> 1151, M4 holds) but APS 2806 -> 2814 (G2: 2782 -> 2787 = Chandrupatla, M2 fails) - the extra false entries. Server regression x2: 1069 passed, 1 failed = the expected paper-number check.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 15:06:37 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 1842eb0765 Flat regime: exit by midpoint similarity (flatstickexit), one judgment at entry and exit (flatjudge), entry by analogy (flatanalog).
PREREG_flat_exit: NOT accepted - APS 2806 -> 3125, CHA 3220 -> 2503 (the exit is earned: APS 6897 without it).
PREREG_flat_judge: NOT accepted (smoke) - APS 3009, CHA 2486: at the model's point f is small by construction, the judgment cannot tell flat from simple there.
PREREG_flat_analogy: ACCEPTED with G2. Entry = unkept promise AND the (xi, phi) configuration nearer to its own past than to the line AND the pair's similarity exponent m >= 2. Projection + G2: APS 2782 -> 2780 (below Chandrupatla 2787, per problem 95/20/38 p=8e-7), CHA 3169 -> 2625, guarantee holds. Without G2: APS 2806 -> 2807 (fails by one call), CHA 2635. Simple roots are spared exactly (cost unchanged); flat families 1823 -> 1238, entry comes late. Goal (below Chandrupatla on both) NOT met: CHA 2625 vs 2441, per problem 9/6/25.
Server regression x2: 1052 passed, 1 failed = the expected paper-number check.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 14:55:45 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 f8c17c4ed1 PREREG_flat_stick outcome: NOT accepted. Sticky regime under the projection: CHA 3220 -> 3019 (W1 holds), flat fun3-6 1823 -> 1057 (W4, near pure bisection 1044), guarantee holds (W3), but APS 2806 -> 6781 (W2 fails): the unkept-promise flag enters on 134/154 APS problems and 20/25 non-flat CHA problems, and a false entry now sticks to the end of the run. W6 fails: the order read from the promise is m = inf in 163/174 entries (r >= 1/e; our step is not a pure tangent), so the derived split equals the midpoint on CHA (3019 both). Audit bug fixed and pinned: an infinite |f| at an end made the split nan. Server regression x2: 999 passed, 1 failed = the expected paper-number check.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 14:14:35 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 5a1edffcfc PREREG_flat_creep outcome: NOT accepted. Unkept promise AND creep under the projection: APS 2806 -> 2878 (V2 fails), CHA 3220 -> 3354 (V1 fails), flat fun3-6 1823 -> 1991 (V4 fails), guarantee holds (V3). With G2: 2782 -> 2842, 3169 -> 3318. Under safe CHA 3390 -> 3149, weaker than the single flag (3037). None of the three flat-regime gates pays under the projection: its budget already does their work. Server regression x2: 952 passed, 1 failed = the expected paper-number check (46 numbers after the signfix, pending the paper decision).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 13:55:37 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 9884b21204 PREREG_flat_twice outcome: stage 1 passed (twice-in-a-row fires on 27.8% of model steps on the flat families, 8.7% on APS, 4.3% on fun1; flat/APS ratio 3.20 against the single flag's 2.47), stage 2 FAILED: under the projection APS 2806 -> 2803 (W2 holds, the per-problem edge over Chandrupatla kept at 83/28/42) but CHA 3220 -> 3341 and the flat families 1823 -> 1975 (W1, W4 fail); with G2 the same. Under safe/step the twice gate is inert (3390 -> 3388) where the single one gave 3037.
Mechanism: the flat cycle is undershoot, undershoot, crossing, near-empty step. The single flag fires after the first undershoot and replaces the second - a useless step; the twice flag fires after the second and replaces the CROSSING, the one step of the cycle that collapses the bracket. The second undershoot's r is ~0.26, next to the 1/4 threshold, so the pair often does not even form. Again a detectability gain that did not carry to run cost. Next candidate (not pre-registered): the unkept promise AND a creep - the same step moving the same way as the previous one.

Removed a vacuous pin I had written (s2 <= max(s1, s2)). Regression on the branch: 935 pass twice; the only red test is the paper-number check.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 13:45:20 +01:00
vvsandClaude Opus 5 e7e74d71e5 Flat regime (PREREG_flat_regime): the unkept-promise flag - after a model step that did not cross the root, r = f_new/f_old >= 1/4, the tangent-versus-halving break-even at m = 2 - RECOGNISES the regime (stage 1: 53.6% of model steps flagged on the flat families against 21.6% on APS and 17.0% on fun1; recall ten times the m>=2 estimator's 5.8%) and cuts the wide-bracket set by 350-490 wherever the budget does not already bind: safe 3390 -> 3037, step 3524 -> 3037, unguarded 4104 -> 3198.
NOT accepted into the proposed rule by the stop rule: under the projection the flat families are already budget-bound (CHA 3220 -> 3198 only) while the false flags on APS cost 2806 -> 3029 (Z2 fails); with G2 both sets fail. The per-problem edge over Chandrupatla on APS turns into 26/72/55. Guarantee intact in every cell. Next candidate, not pre-registered: require the promise to fail twice in a row.

Regression on the branch: 918 pass (twice); the one red test is the paper-number check awaiting the paper update.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 13:25:56 +01:00