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sim-numerics/results_analyze_orderpt_smoke.txt
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vvsandClaude Opus 5 08863c170c PREREG_flat_order_point outcome: ACCEPTED, and the GOAL is reached - below Chandrupatla on BOTH sets (server numbers, all projection cells equal to the smoke).
Splitting in the flat regime at the point from the analogous pair's order (t = |FA|^(1/m) / (|FA|^(1/m) + |FB|^(1/m))) instead of the midpoint:
  G2 + analogy + order point         APS 2780  CHA 2221  both 5001   (P1-P4 all hold; vs Chandrupatla 2787 / 2441 / 5228)
  G2 + contra + remembered + point   APS 2775  CHA 2119  both 4894   (P3 fails by 2 against its midpoint twin)
  defect + remembered + point        APS 2532  CHA 2164  both 4696   (P3 fails by 2)
Flat fun3-6: 1234 -> 847 (analogy), 1151 -> 743 (remembered) - below pure bisection 1044 and Chandrupatla 1068.
Per problem on the wide set vs Chandrupatla now 20-24 wins / 13-17 losses (p 0.1-0.7, not significant); on the canonical set the edge is kept (95/20/38 p=8e-7).
Guarantee: 0 violations and >= 193 solved in every project/safe/credit cell.
Server regression x2: 1150 passed, 1 failed = the paper-number check.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-21 18:13:10 +01:00

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== no G2
flatanalogpt APS 2807->2807 CHA 2635->2338 flat 1238->958 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✓ P4 ✓ GOAL no vsCh APS 87/24/42 CHA 21/4/15 p=0.41
fun1:82 fun2:141 fun3:314 fun4:288 fun5:100 fun6:256 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:105
flatanalogmempt APS 2814->2814 CHA 2552->2119 flat 1151->743 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✓ P4 ✓ GOAL no vsCh APS 87/24/42 CHA 23/4/13 p=0.13
fun1:79 fun2:141 fun3:132 fun4:151 fun5:252 fun6:208 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:104
defect+flatanalogmempt APS 2530->2532 CHA 2561->2164 flat 1156->789 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✗ P4 ✓ GOAL YES vsCh APS 86/20/47 CHA 20/3/17 p=0.74
fun1:99 fun2:144 fun3:132 fun4:141 fun5:177 fun6:339 fun7:1000 fun8:57 fun9:75
contra+flatanalogmempt APS 2792->2794 CHA 2537->2105 flat 1151->743 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✗ P4 ✓ GOAL no vsCh APS 90/23/40 CHA 22/4/14 p=0.24
fun1:89 fun2:141 fun3:132 fun4:151 fun5:252 fun6:208 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:80
== G2
flatanalogpt APS 2780->2780 CHA 2625->2221 flat 1234->847 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✓ P4 ✓ GOAL YES vsCh APS 95/20/38 CHA 24/3/13 p=0.099
fun1:82 fun2:146 fun3:230 fun4:261 fun5:100 fun6:256 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:94
flatanalogmempt APS 2787->2787 CHA 2548->2117 flat 1152->747 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✓ P4 ✓ GOAL no vsCh APS 95/20/38 CHA 23/3/14 p=0.19
fun1:79 fun2:146 fun3:144 fun4:143 fun5:252 fun6:208 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:93
defect+flatanalogmempt APS 2587->2589 CHA 2564->2177 flat 1158->801 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✗ P4 ✓ GOAL YES vsCh APS 85/20/48 CHA 20/2/18 p=0.87
fun1:99 fun2:145 fun3:144 fun4:141 fun5:177 fun6:339 fun7:1000 fun8:57 fun9:75
contra+flatanalogmempt APS 2773->2775 CHA 2548->2119 flat 1152->747 P1 ✓ P2 ✓ P3 ✗ P4 ✓ GOAL YES vsCh APS 98/18/37 CHA 22/3/15 p=0.32
fun1:94 fun2:146 fun3:144 fun4:143 fun5:252 fun6:208 fun7:1000 fun8:52 fun9:80